Handoff — Tourism Vertical Slice

Project

Path: /Users/kunthawat/Gitea/set50-alternative-data-platform
Branch: main
Verified code commit: 0b47a06 — [verified] add event-study readiness gate
Current milestone: M2.3 event-study foundation complete; real backtest blocked
Mode: research + paper only
Frontend: Vue 3 + Vite
Backend: Flask 0.4.0
Current runtime source: BOT Tourism Indicators (TOURISM_SOURCE=bot)

Completed

Tourism snapshot schema with source, publication, retrieval, vintage and raw hash fields.
Deterministic Tourism Pulse score: standardized surprise × exposure × confidence.
BOT ASP.NET form adapter with monthly history parsing and trailing 12-point YoY baseline.
Atomic raw HTML and normalized snapshot persistence under ignored backend/data/.
Read-only /api/v1/data-health endpoint.
Safe /api/v1/replay/tourism?vintage_id=... endpoint with identity and path validation.
Immutable VintageStore manifest with first-seen, last-seen, seen-count and revision metadata.
One-shot collector: backend/scripts/collect_tourism_vintage.py.
Point-in-time vintage query: GET /api/v1/vintages?as_of=<ISO-8601>.
Deterministic event-study engine with window, benchmark and cost calculations.
Backtest readiness gate: GET /api/v1/backtest/tourism?min_events=12.
Ranked target weights and LONG/SHORT/NEUTRAL classification.
English dashboard with live/provisional source label, sign-aware surprise copy and lineage fields.
HttpOnly paper session and internal paper ledger.
No external webhook or MT5 integration.

Independent M1 review passed with no concrete security or logic blockers. Non-blocking backlog: add schema-drift, duplicate/reordered-row, and malformed-vintage regression fixtures.

Current live vintage

source_id: bot.ec_ei_028_s2
published_at: 2026-07-31T14:30:00+07:00
as_of: 2026-06-30
status: provisional
available_periods: 138
history_points: 12
vintage_id: bot.ec_ei_028_s2-2026-07-31-665981f88b4a
raw_payload_hash: 665981f88b4a30c5bd30026cf1e96279c244ad83725558f4136d952b29756a31
theme_surprise: -0.35114754

Verified commands and live checks

PYTHONPATH=backend .venv/bin/python -W error -m unittest discover -s backend/tests -v
Ran 18 tests ... OK

npm run build
Vite build completed successfully.

GET /api/v1/health
HTTP 200; {"mode":"research","status":"ok","version":"0.4.0"}

GET /api/v1/data-health
HTTP 200; source_mode=bot, status=provisional, replayable=true

GET /api/v1/replay/tourism?vintage_id=bot.ec_ei_028_s2-2026-07-31-665981f88b4a
HTTP 200; replay theme surprise matched live summary exactly.

GET /api/v1/vintages?as_of=2026-07-01T00:00:00Z
HTTP 200; count=0

GET /api/v1/vintages?as_of=2026-08-01T00:00:00Z
HTTP 200; count=1; manifest seen_count=4

GET /api/v1/backtest/tourism?min_events=12
HTTP 409; status=blocked, available_events=1, required_events=12, price_series_required=true

Paper writes use a server-side token exchange and HttpOnly paper_session cookie; the token is not embedded in the frontend bundle.

Known limitations

BOT data is provisional and may be revised. The vintage/hash contract preserves the fetched version, but this is not a final-data guarantee.
Only foreign-arrival YoY is live in this slice; occupancy and airport passenger metrics are not yet connected.
Snapshot storage is local filesystem and single-process; shared persistence is required before multi-worker deployment.
No investment edge, transaction-cost result, or backtest conclusion has been established.
One independent source release is not enough for a valid event study; current historical rows are not treated as point-in-time vintages.
The event-study engine is deterministic and tested, but no real price provider is connected yet.
Browser screenshot verification remains blocked by the Chrome remote-debugging permission prompt; served HTML/source, live API, fresh Vite build and replay integrity were verified instead.

Exact next action

Collect independent BOT releases over time and add a point-in-time daily price provider. Only then raise the readiness gate and run the event study. Add another metric only when its historical release coverage is real.

4.1 KiB Raw Blame History Unescape Escape